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It would be my opinion that it is a broken axle. To answer your questions about repair or replacement, an axle cannot be welded satisfactorily, but they are readily available and fairly easy to replace. Identification of the exact axle in your housing can only be made by counting the teeth, 16 or 18, can be replaced by either in compatible tooth count, or by the replacement of both axles together with spider gear in a set of the different tooth count. Compatible axle sets for your housing range from 1935 to 1941, the axle shafts themselves being 32.85" in length.